Gregorio Montefucci
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Gregorio Montefucci | |
|---|---|
| Born | 18-9 20 PC |
| Education | University of Mineria Department of International Affairs |
| Occupation | Academic |
| Known for | Monocore model of the world |
Gregorio Montefucci (born 18-9 20 PC) is a Rossan academic and political analyst. He is a professor of international conflict at the Rossan Department of International Affairs at the University of Mineria. He is best known for developing the monocore model of alliance and conflict, which he used to try to explain the formation of pragmatic alliances and the causes behind their dissolution. In 71 PC, he has predicted that the House of Light will eventually dissolve as its member states begin to look outwards, being replaced by either another pragmatic alliance, or with ideological alliances beginning to take hold.
Monocore Model
Montefucci claims that at any moment in time, the nations of the world vie for supremacy to protect their own security, both through offensive wars and through soft power spread through alliances. At any moment in time so far, however, the world has had only a single major power, which acts magnetically as an attractive force for other nations. He calls the HoL the world's current monocore or hegemon, with the Akuta Pact and the Eastern Bloc being its predecessor. He states that a monocore serves as the functional core of the world around which the rest of it revolves. Although nations outside the monocore will always exist, they aren't able to rival its power, and will try to stay close to it.
He posits that a monocore amasses such a great amount of power that it cannot be dislodged by outside forces. Instead, pressure comes from within, from the nations that compose the particular alliance. As individual states in their own pursuits look outside the alliance for potential partnerships, the deals they sign dilute the alliance, eventually leading to it fizzling out. This creates an anarchic world without a clear core, which allows another alliance to take its place, becoming the next most desireable alternative. He considers a nullocore world to be inherently unstable, existing only for as long as it takes for a monocore to establish itself.
He worries that the HoL, despite public assurances, is beginning to dissolve, as nations within it are looking outside for further enrichment. Even as it may exist on paper, one day it is likely to go the way of Akuta. He remains unsure of what will replace it, but remains doubtful a duocore world will emerge, as long as alliances remain pragmatic and non-ideological. In such a case, even nations with deep ideological splits will be able to come together for the sake of their own security. If the lines were instead ideological, he believes that it would restrict the nations any one alliance may approach. In that case, any alliance would be limited to only nations favoring a certain ideology, allowing possibly multiple cores to emerge with little overlap. Aggressive fights between cores could prove possible, but he leaves the matter as speculation.